
An analysis of Tsingshan Holding Group Co’s Big Short Position on Nickel Futures
- 1 University of Edinburgh
- 2 University of Edinburgh
- 3 Wuhan University
- 4 Miami University
* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
This paper analyzes the case study of the world’s largest nickel producer: Tsingshan Hold-ing Group’s $8 Billion trading loss. We examine Tsingshan’s trading position before and after the surge in nickel prices to better understand the rationale behind their decision to short 200,000 tons of nickel futures mostly on the London Metal Exchange. Moreover, this paper outlines the impact of Tsingshan’s trading loss on their various stakeholders. For in-stance, the rise of almost 250% in nickel futures resulted in the LME suspending all nickel trading on March 8th 2022 meanwhile creating a large liquidity crisis for the LME. On the other hand, Tsingshan’s broker China Construction Bank Corp and their largest counterpar-ty JP Morgan Chase provided large sums of loan packages so that Tsingshan could avoid defaulting on meeting their margin calls. We concluded that the case study revealed vari-ous underlying issues. One was the failure of LME’s ability to regulate OTC trading, and the second was Tsingshan’s poor liquidity management which put them in a vulnerable po-sition.
Keywords
Tsingshan Holding Group, margin call, nickel futures, LME, CCB, JP Morgan
[1]. Sanderson, H. (2022). Nickel drama highlights Tsingshan’s role in energy transition. China Dialogue. https://chinadialogue.net/en/business/nickel-drama-highlights-tsingshans-role-in-energy-transition/.
[2]. SINA Historical nickel futures trading price. https://vip.stock.finance.sina.com.cn/q/view/vFutures_History.php?jys=LME&pz=NID&hy=&breed=NID&type=global&start=2022-02-01&end=2022-04-01
[3]. Bloomberg, Bloomberg News |. “Analysis | Who Is the 'Big Shot' behind Nickel's Bad Short?” The Washington Post, WP Company, 12 Mar. 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/who-is-the-big-shot-behind-nickels-bad-short/2022/03/11/d04263bc-a147-11ec-9438-255709b6cddc_story.html.
[4]. SINA. London Nickel CFD (NID) Transaction History, 2022. https://vip.stock.finance.sina.com.cn/q/view/vFutures_Positions_hyjgd.php?t_shortname=%D3%C0%B0%B2%C6%DA%BB%F5.
[5]. Langley, William. “LME Hit by $450MN Lawsuit from Elliott Management Over Nickel Market Chaos.” Subscribe to Read | Financial Times, Financial Times, 6 June 2022, https://www.ft.com/content/f032093b-dc47-403e-9c9d-f2a3615dd6bf.
[6]. Langley, William. “US Trading Firm Jane Street Sues LME for Nickel Trade Chaos.” Subscribe to Read |Financial Times, Financial Times, 7 June 2022, https://www.ft.com/content/cb646552-04c5-4ecf-a720-7521228e2a6c.
[7]. Farchy, Jack. “Tycoon Shorting Nickel Reaches Deal to Avoid Further Margin Calls.” Bloomberg.com, Bloomberg, 14 Mar. 2022, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-14/nickel-s-big-short-reaches-deal-to-avoid-further-margin-calls.
[8]. Farchy, Jack, and Alfred Cang. “JPMorgan (JPM) Is Biggest Counterparty for Nickel Tycoon Guangda's Short Bets.” Bloomberg.com, Bloomberg, 11 Mar. 2022, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-11/jpmorgan-is-biggest-counterparty-for-nickel-tycoon-s-short-bets.
[9]. Farchy, Jack. “LME Will Force Disclosure of OTC Trades after Nickel Chaos.” Bloomberg.com, Bloomberg, 17 June 2022, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-17/lme-will-force-disclosure-of-otc-trades-after-nickel-chaos.
[10]. Maley, Karen. “Tsingshan Debacle Exposes Weak Underbelly of LME.” Australian Financial Review, 13 Mar. 2022, https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/tsingshan-debacle-exposes-weak-underbelly-of-lme-20220313-p5a47b.
[11]. Menon, Praveen, et al. “Chinese Tycoon's 'Big Short' on Nickel Trips up Tsingshan's Miracle Growth.” Reuters, Thomson Reuters, 13 Mar. 2022, https://www.reuters.com/article/lme-nickel-tsingshan-focus-idTRNIKCN2LA0LL.
[12]. Tsingshan Holding Group Co. “Tsingshan Became a Newcomer of the Fortune 500: Tsingshan Holding Group.” TSINGSHAN Became a Newcomer of the Fortune 500 | TSINGSHAN HOLDING GROUP, https://www.tssgroup.com.cn/en/tsingshan-became-a-newcomer-of-the-fortune-500/.
Cite this article
Wang,G.;Zhao,H.;Zhang,Z.;Wu,S. (2023). An analysis of Tsingshan Holding Group Co’s Big Short Position on Nickel Futures. Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences,17,324-332.
Data availability
The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.
Disclaimer/Publisher's Note
The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of EWA Publishing and/or the editor(s). EWA Publishing and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content.
About volume
Volume title: Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Business and Policy Studies
© 2024 by the author(s). Licensee EWA Publishing, Oxford, UK. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and
conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license. Authors who
publish this series agree to the following terms:
1. Authors retain copyright and grant the series right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons
Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this
series.
2. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the series's published
version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial
publication in this series.
3. Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and
during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See
Open access policy for details).