The Role of Central Banks in Stabilizing the Economy

Research Article
Open access

The Role of Central Banks in Stabilizing the Economy

Mingyang Li 1*
  • 1 Revelle College, University of California, San Diego, United States of America    
  • *corresponding author mil152@ucsd.edu
Published on 26 December 2024 | https://doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/2024.18605
AEMPS Vol.136
ISSN (Print): 2754-1169
ISSN (Online): 2754-1177
ISBN (Print): 978-1-83558-821-5
ISBN (Online): 978-1-83558-822-2

Abstract

This research paper aims to analyze and declare the indispensable function of central banks in formulating economic policy as well as the execution of their monetary policy and banking regulations. As these central banks manage a nation's currency, money supply, and interest rates, they usually use tools such as interest rate stabilization, quantitative easing, drag, and forward guidance strategies to stabilize the economy. In the wake of the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, central banks such as the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank sought to avert a complete financial collapse and also to foster recovery. Lastly, the paper also affirms the role of central banks as the regulators in the financial sector as well as their activities as lenders of last resort. The case studies from the US, Europe, Japan, and China show how central banks fight crises by working through both conventional and unconventional tools. Conversely, inflation control, wealth inequality, political pressures, and the introduction of digital currencies are set to be dangerous hindrances for elections in future years. This article concludes by underlining how central banks' persuasiveness in establishing economic strength is critical to success in an environment of an ever-changing global financial system.

Keywords:

Central banks, Monetary Policy, Banking Regulations, Nation

Li,M. (2024). The Role of Central Banks in Stabilizing the Economy. Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences,136,37-42.
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1. Introduction

Central banks have in any economy a very important function as they control such aspects as money circulation, money supply, and interest rates. They are defining elements of the legal mechanism regulating the financial system, whose primary goal is to secure stability and assurance in the economic sphere [1]. Some key roles of central banks are that they prevent inflation, manage employment levels, and stabilize the currency. For instance, the Federal Reserve, the central bank of the United States, operates through the use of its monetary policies that affect the economy by varying the federal funds rate. In August 2024, the Fed Federal Reserve, the set target interest rate at 5.25%, maintains the main goal of containing inflation while creating a foundation for economic growth [2].

Stability in the economy is important as it plays a central role in the establishment of a durable economy by mitigating recessions and booms. The absence of sustainable stability measures brings about periods of sharp boom and bust, which in turn leads to unemployment, inflation, and financial catastrophes [3]. In the year 2020, coinciding with the COVID-19 pandemic, the world's central banks, such as the European Central Bank (ECB) and Japan's Bank of Japan (BoJ), adopted aggressive policies such as quantitative easing and interest rate cuts that stabilized their economies [4]. This emphasized the criticalness to economic status of these institutions.

The present essay purports to focus on the essential role of central banks in bringing about stabilization of economies under the influence of their monetary policies and regulatory functions. This article will examine their roles, especially how they reduce inflation, stabilize currencies, and manage crises. Lastly, how these practices are essential for establishing a firm economic structure that fosters social equity and stability will be examined.

2. Functions of Central Banks

Monetary policy, which is the main tool that central banks use to steer the economy, is another important aspect. They rely on various means, including the monetary base, short-term interest rates, and overall economy [5]. One of these vital tools is the beneficial place of interest rate adjusted. These central banks, like the U.S. Federal Reserve, have the ability to change the amount of interest that should be paid to manage inflation and, at the same time, help to motivate or cool down the economy [6]. Let us take the example of 2022, when inflation was at its peak, meaning the Federal Reserve increased interest rates by 75 basis points in several meetings, which made the total increase during the year to be 3.75 percent [7]. On the other hand, open market operations are a method involving central banks whereby one party acquires government securities and the other exchanges them for money. This practice is used for influencing banking reserves and the money supply [8]. On top of that, reserve requirements dictate how much reserves a bank should keep at the minimum, which would, thereafter, impact money that the banks can lend.

Monetary policy implementation is also a duty of central banks, together with the monitoring and regulation of financial institutions which in return ensures the stability of the financial system. For example, the ECB keeps a close watch on the commercial banks' operations, scrutinizing them to ensure that they are good enough as per the regulations and that they do have adequate capital reserves [9]. To counter the crisis, the central banks all over the world implemented tighter regulations like Basel III, which increased the capital requirements and also introduced new liquidity standards. Such regulations are intended to prevent the system's exposure to unfavorable scenarios and to influence people who matters in the banking industry that fairness has been upheld.

Orchestrating assuring the residents be payers of last resort is another importance of a central bank. Such banks usually lend loans to businesses as well as individuals and are entitled to demand return on those loans. Hence, when the liquidity shortage strikes the commercial banks, the central banks do the job rapidly by allowing emergency funding, maintaining the solvency of resident institutions. During the 2008 crisis, however, the said function was revealed when the Federal Reserve lent out more than $700 billion to the banks to their various lending programs, especially TAF and PDCF [10], and other interventions. By provision of liquidity in these cases, central banks rescue the financial markets from being in the run by the banks and the collapse of financial institutions, and this guarantees the stability of the financial system [3].

Without the intervention of central banks in monetary matters – they issue and even control how a nation’s currency flows. They meticulously control the money flow that acts as a stabilizing factor in an economy and controls both inflation and deflation levels. Bank of England is an example institution that carries out this important responsibility. It does this by ensuring that the banknotes provided by it are enough for the economy itself [11]. Apart from that, central banks hold foreign reserves and also at times intervene to correct their respective currency values. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is an important case here because it often actively participates in the foreign exchange market, ensuring that the national currency value of the yuan is high enough to make the country competitive and stable for international trade [12]. By these actions, the banks ensure that the national currency is kept as stable and reliable as a value store or medium of exchange.

3. Tools and Mechanisms for Economic Stabilization

Interest rate adjustments are one of the central instruments in the toolkit of the central banks that can be used to influence the economic activity levels, as noted in Blinder's work in 2020. With this method, central banks commute the rates on loans, either raising them to slow growth or decreasing them, in order to favor spending. In this respect, for example, when the Federal Reserve cut the FFR (federal funds rate) to almost near to zero during the COVID-19 pandemic, it meant to support the economy through borrowing and investment to aid recovery [13]. On the other hand, in times of high inflation, central banks tighten monetary policy by raising interest rates to reduce consumption and borrowing and, consequently, bring inflation down. An example of this is when, in 2022, the Federal Reserve rate increased to more than 4% in an attempt to fight swelling inflation that reached a record 40-year high of 9.1% in June [14]. Through these adjustments, the banks can perform the role of a cushioner through the very cycle of the economy, as they watch over the sustainable growth and the price stability.

Quantitative easing (QE), of particular relevance for central banks, entails cases, for instance, when the availability of other monetary policy measures is low due to already low interest rates. QE is quantifiable as very large purchases are made of either government assets or other financial instruments in order to support liquidity added to the system. This is the strategy the European Central Bank (ECB) made use of later during the Eurozone crisis in June 2015, when the ECB presented an asset purchase program of €1.1 trillion [15]. Another similarity is that the Bank of Japan has pursued QE since the start of the 21st century, and in particular, its recent expansion of the balance sheet has significantly offset deflationary trends [16]. The effects of QE may include reduced long-term interest rates, increased asset prices, better creditworthiness, and a stimulation of economic activity. Therefore, there will be favorable conditions for the continuation of this stimulus policy as well. However, QE presents risks too, such as asset bubbles and widening of income inequality, which the central bank should monitor and manage cautiously [1].

Forward guidance is a communication practice for central banks, which aims to sway market expectations as regards the subsequent path of monetary policy. Interested in influencing economic behavior, central banks can precisely deliver grade and transparent information regarding future policy actions to affect such behaviors albeit without making immediate policy changes [6]. For example, a claim from the Federal Reserve from 2012 makes clear that these rates will be kept at or near zero area until at least mid-2015 to provide confidence in the markets to create recovery [17]. Such a forward guidance prevented expectations from making severe shifts, eliminating doubts through remittance, and consequently made investment and spending rates rise. Equally, the UK did the same in 2013 when they linked further rate increase to certain unemployment percentile [18]. Major tools in such communications are market expectation management, curbing volatility, and ratings changes conformity, which further enhance general economic balance.

The macroprudential approach is a name given to a notion of supervision that is intended to counter risk concentrations that may destabilize the financial system as a whole. These measures partly comprise regulations such as a countercyclical capital buffer that permits banks to set aside more of their own capital during periods of economic super-booming to cushion losses in times of downsizing. Basel III, which was implemented after the financial crisis of 2008, is a macroprudential set of measures that includes a leverage ratio and liquidity coverage ratio, which are devoted to making both individual financial institutions and the entire system more stable. For illustration, the Bank of Canada, in the context of increasing demand for housing and higher household debt, tightened the mortgage lending also in 2018, bringing about stress tests, which measured the ability of borrowers to service their loans under the conditions of higher interest rates. In that case, adjusting the strategies prevented the possibility of the crash in the housing market, showing the macroprudential policies are capable of avoiding systemic risks and shaping the economy to stabilize it [8].

4. Case Studies

The Federal Reserve (Fed) has been significant to the United States, acting as a stabilizer for the economic downturns at various times. During the 2008 financial crisis, the Fed adopted a number of actions that had not been tried before, such as cutting the federal funds rate to near zero and launching the operation of multiple quantitative easing (QE) programs. The first round of QE, which took place in November 2008, involved a total purchase of $600 billion mortgage-backed securities that brought some order in the financial markets and contributed to an improvement of the economy [10]. In this current COVID-19 pandemic era, the Fed has acted very quickly once again and reduced the interest rates to zero to 0.25 and also increased their aggregate by purchasing government bonds and mortgage-backed securities of more than $3 trillion in the year 2020 [3]. By these means, the Fed succeeded in avoiding a prolonged downturn and rendering support to the strong revival of the economy that ensued [15].

The Central Bank of the European Union (ECB) took power in the face of the Eurozone crisis in 2010 to protect the economy and save the euro from collapsing. The ECB President Mario Draghi in 2012 reiterated the commitment to "take any necessary measures to support the euro", which was similar to the beginning of the Outright Monetary Transactions program (OMT) [13]. This program allowed the ECB to buy the bonds of struggling Eurozone countries like Greece, Spain, and Italy, lowering the interest rates and forever restoring the investors' confidence that debts were indeed manageable [19]. Along with that, ECB launched the massive QE program in 2015 with a monthly increase of €60 billion of assets purchases to tackle objections to deflationary pressures and promote economic growth in the Eurozone [20].

Moreover, various major central banks have resorted to large-scale measures for the stabilization of the economy. The Bank of Japan pursued a monetary policy that sets a negative interest rate in 2016 for decades of deflation, and also undertook large-scale asset purchases under QE. By 2023, the BoJ's balance sheet will have swelled to over 130% of Japan's GDP through the bank's goal which is its commitment to achieve 2% inflation rate. Moreover, the PBOC has made effective use of both conventional and monetary tools to preserve economic stability. This entails curtailing the Reserve Requirement Ratio several times, which is recent in the order to modify lending to support growth during trade tensions as well as the global pandemic. An example would be 2021, when the People's Bank of China (PBOC) decreased the Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR) by 0.5 percentage points, which injected about 1 trillion yuan (the approximate amount of $154 billion) back to the economy to sustain businesses and avoid a deeper slowdown due to the prolonged effects of the COVID-19 pandemic [13]. Also of interest is the fact that the PBOC's active control of the exchange rate of the yuan has played an essential part in maintaining China's trading capacity as well as financial stability. The PBOC, afflicted by economic growth disruption, engages in transactions in foreign exchange markets and adjusts the currency's value to slow down falling exchange rates, which could threaten China's growth [6].

These examples serve to underscore the key position of the central banks in peacemaking during economic crises. With the help of a broad array of measures, ranging from interest rate level adjusting to quantitative easing, central banks often succeed in identifying and remediesing economic crises, keeping financial systems from collapsing, and leading their economies to emerge from the crisis towards a stable position.

5. Challenges and Criticisms of Central Banks

On the one hand, central banks are crucial for the stabilization of a country's economy, but on the other hand, they also face their fair share of problems. A noteworthy factor in this regard is the risk of central bankers being pulled in different directions by misreading the conditions of the economy, hence having to make unsuitable policy decisions. Through the lens of their critics, the Federal Reserve's decision to keep near-zero interest rates and fuel quantitative easing through 2021 only added to the inflation crisis that reached the highest number for 40 years in 2022 [1]. The undertaking of such monetary policy tightening at a later time for the sake of managing inflation, the necessity of which created an environment that required aggressive rate hikes, posed the risk of another recession.

Another argument against financial institutions, especially concerning their QE policies, is the widening of wealth inequality. The very essence of QE is purchasing assets worth huge sums of money, therefore, it has influenced asset prices to go up, which is an oddity since more wealthier individuals whose main income comes from stocks and landed properties. Consequently, this has intensified the wealth disparities in a topnumber of countries, leading to social and political unrest [8]. Moreover, the long-term nature of these programs in the form of ultra-low interest rate and QE could also foster things like asset bubbles which can be notably seen in the United States and other countries like Japan where housing prices have soared beyond sustainable levels [10].

The issue of central bank independence is yet another. Notwithstanding this, the need for independence in central banks to ensure the free hand in policymaking, which is free from political pressures, is central to sound monetary policy formulation. It is also possible that governments might employ interference on central bank autonomy as a tool to pursue ad-hoc political goals that would otherwise bring about the risks of hyperinflation and recession [21]. As a case in point, the Turkish central bank in recent times has witnessed government interference, which is not conventional but rather non-economically motivated and is not any different from political interference, results in inflation skyrocketing out of control and currency crises [13].

Lastly, central bank authorities are confronted with the task of knowing the changes of global economy and adjust. Digitally stored currencies, fintech, and decentralized finance (DeFi) present both opportunities and risks that central banks need to deal with very well. The emergence of CBDCs is one way of addressing these worries, a strategy being employed by China with the launching of the digital yuan. Nevertheless, CBDCs will create issues regarding surveillance, financial regulation, and the critical role of banks. Striking the balance between innovation and regulation will be inevitable for central banks so that they can maintain stability in this chaotic digital financial market.

6. Conclusion

Central banks are essential institutions in modern economies as they are. They perform a critical function in ensuring economic equilibrium through the carrying out of monetary policy, financial regulation, and the management of crises. Given that central banks manipulate an array of instruments like interest rates, engage in quantitative easing, provide forward guidance, and implement macroprudential measures, they help in alleviating the ups and downs of economies and eventually improve long-term growth. Still, they further have troublesome problems, such as helplessness in policy misjudgment, consequences of wealth distribution setting, and how independence can be kept while dealing with political strain. Additionally, in line with the changes of the global economy, central banks have to be agile in making innovations and efforts to keep abreast with changing technologies.

Finally, even if their involvement may not be error-free, central banks are still instrumental in safeguarding stability and progression by doling out prompt and efficient fixes to economic failures. While recent recessions have stressed the extent to which monetary spikes induce the turning point of economic fate, placing central banks in unstable yet resilient positions, the focus now is on what they do right – neither these recessions nor the preceding recovery would have been possible without them.


References

[1]. Goodhart, C. A. E. (2019) The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival. Springer.

[2]. Federal Reserve. (2024) Federal Funds Rate and Economic Outlook—august 2024.

[3]. Mishkin, F. S. (2022) The Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets (13th Ed.).

[4]. European Central Bank (ECB). (2021) Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme.

[5]. Federal Reserve. (2020) Monetary Policy Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic.

[6]. Blinder, A. S. (2020) A Monetary and Fiscal History of the United States: 1961-2021. Princeton University Press.

[7]. Federal Reserve. (2022) Inflation and Monetary Policy Adjustment: the 2022 Response.

[8]. Cecchetti, S. G., Schoenholtz, K. L. (2021) Money, Banking, and Financial Markets. McGraw-Hill Education.

[9]. European Central Bank (ECB). (2023) Bank Supervision and Financial Stability in the Eurozone.

[10]. Bernanke, B. (2020) The Courage to Act: a Memoir of a Crisis and Its Aftermath. Norton & Company.

[11]. Bank of England. (2023) Issuing Banknotes in the UK: A Crucial Function.

[12]. Cheung, Y.-W., He, Y. (2021) Currency Management and Central Bank Intervention in China. Journal of International Economics, 132, 103481.

[13]. Federal Reserve. (2021) Actions During the COVID-19 Economic Crisis.

[14]. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). (2022) Consumer Price Index—June 2022.

[15]. European Central Bank (ECB). (2021) Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme.

[16]. Bank of Japan (BoJ). (2023) Monetary Policy Decisions and Balance Sheet Overview.

[17]. Federal Reserve. (2012) Forward Guidance and Economic Recovery: The 2012 Announcement.

[18]. Bank of England. (2013) Forward Guidance: The August 2013 Decision.

[19]. European Central Bank (ECB). (2015) Expanded Asset Purchase Programme.

[20]. People’s Bank of China. (2021) Reserve Requirement Ratio Adjustments.

[21]. Alper, C. E., Özatay, F. (2021). Economic Instability and Political Interference: the Case of Turkey's Central Bank. Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 24(2), 123-139.


Cite this article

Li,M. (2024). The Role of Central Banks in Stabilizing the Economy. Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences,136,37-42.

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Volume title: Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis

ISBN:978-1-83558-821-5(Print) / 978-1-83558-822-2(Online)
Editor:Ursula Faura-Martínez
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Conference date: 4 December 2024
Series: Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
Volume number: Vol.136
ISSN:2754-1169(Print) / 2754-1177(Online)

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References

[1]. Goodhart, C. A. E. (2019) The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival. Springer.

[2]. Federal Reserve. (2024) Federal Funds Rate and Economic Outlook—august 2024.

[3]. Mishkin, F. S. (2022) The Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets (13th Ed.).

[4]. European Central Bank (ECB). (2021) Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme.

[5]. Federal Reserve. (2020) Monetary Policy Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic.

[6]. Blinder, A. S. (2020) A Monetary and Fiscal History of the United States: 1961-2021. Princeton University Press.

[7]. Federal Reserve. (2022) Inflation and Monetary Policy Adjustment: the 2022 Response.

[8]. Cecchetti, S. G., Schoenholtz, K. L. (2021) Money, Banking, and Financial Markets. McGraw-Hill Education.

[9]. European Central Bank (ECB). (2023) Bank Supervision and Financial Stability in the Eurozone.

[10]. Bernanke, B. (2020) The Courage to Act: a Memoir of a Crisis and Its Aftermath. Norton & Company.

[11]. Bank of England. (2023) Issuing Banknotes in the UK: A Crucial Function.

[12]. Cheung, Y.-W., He, Y. (2021) Currency Management and Central Bank Intervention in China. Journal of International Economics, 132, 103481.

[13]. Federal Reserve. (2021) Actions During the COVID-19 Economic Crisis.

[14]. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). (2022) Consumer Price Index—June 2022.

[15]. European Central Bank (ECB). (2021) Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme.

[16]. Bank of Japan (BoJ). (2023) Monetary Policy Decisions and Balance Sheet Overview.

[17]. Federal Reserve. (2012) Forward Guidance and Economic Recovery: The 2012 Announcement.

[18]. Bank of England. (2013) Forward Guidance: The August 2013 Decision.

[19]. European Central Bank (ECB). (2015) Expanded Asset Purchase Programme.

[20]. People’s Bank of China. (2021) Reserve Requirement Ratio Adjustments.

[21]. Alper, C. E., Özatay, F. (2021). Economic Instability and Political Interference: the Case of Turkey's Central Bank. Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 24(2), 123-139.