
European Soccer Transfer Market Analysis: The Determinant Factors in Transfer Fee
- 1 University of Waterloo
* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
This paper examines the European soccer transfer market, which, as the world’s most popular sport, has its unique rules for player trading. The transfers are the most exciting events in the soccer world each year. While most studies focus on a player’s market value, this paper intends to study the actual transfer amount, which represents the transaction that occurred, rather than an estimated result. In the preparation phase, this study gathered data on the top 25 transfers over the past 14 years (350 transactions in total) in an Excel spreadsheet. The study aims to determine the important substances that contribute to a player’s transfer fee by constructing several linear multiple regression models using statistical software R Studio. It is concluded that age and in-field performance (goal and assist) are the most related factors for the whole dataset. However, the determining factors will vary depending on a player’s position. Many of the factors are somewhat counterintuitive and further investigation is required.
Keywords
soccer statistics, transfer fee, linear regression
[1]. Cotta L 2016 Using fifa soccer video game data for soccer analytics Proc. Workshop Large Scale Sports Anal. 1–4.
[2]. Vroonen R 2017 Predicting the potential of professional soccer players Proc. Mach. Learn. Data Mining Sports Anal. 1–10.
[3]. Asif R 2016 Football (soccer) analytics: A case study on the availability and limitations of data for football analytics research Int. J. Comput. Sci. Inf. Secur. 516.
[4]. Frick B 2007 The football players’labor market: Empirical evidence from the major European leagues Scottish J. Political Economy 422–446.
[5]. Amir E and Livne G 2005 Accounting, valuation and duration of football player contracts J. Bus. Finance Accounting 549–586.
[6]. Pawlowski T and Breuer Hovemann C A 2010 Top clubs’ performance and the competitive situation in European domestic football competitions J. Sports Econ. 186–202.
[7]. Franceschi M, et al. 2023 Determinants of football players’ valuation: A systematic review. Journal of Economic Surveys.
[8]. Konefał M, et al. 2021 Physical Activity of the Right-and Left-Footed Professional Soccer Players from Symmetrical Defensive Positions. Symmetry 1551.
[9]. Ante L 2019 Determinants of transfers fees: Evidence from the five major European football leagues. University of Hamburg: Hamburg, Germany.
[10]. Müller O, Simons A and Weinmann M 2017 Beyond crowd judgments: Data-driven estimation of market value in association football Eur. J. Oper. Res. 611–624.
[11]. Bell, A. R., Brooks, C., & Brooks, R. (2023). Are English football players overvalued?. Applied Economics, 1-17.
Cite this article
Wang,X. (2023). European Soccer Transfer Market Analysis: The Determinant Factors in Transfer Fee. Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences,24,317-327.
Data availability
The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.
Disclaimer/Publisher's Note
The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of EWA Publishing and/or the editor(s). EWA Publishing and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content.
About volume
Volume title: Proceedings of the 2023 International Conference on Management Research and Economic Development
© 2024 by the author(s). Licensee EWA Publishing, Oxford, UK. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and
conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license. Authors who
publish this series agree to the following terms:
1. Authors retain copyright and grant the series right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons
Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this
series.
2. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the series's published
version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial
publication in this series.
3. Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and
during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See
Open access policy for details).