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The Impact of Federal Reserve Increasing Interest Rate on ETH Market
- 1 China Agricultural University
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Abstract
On 16th March 2022, U.S. Federal Reserve increased the interest rate the first time, and in the whole year, U.S. Federal Reserve made seven increments on interest rate. As this will affect the value of dollar, many American financial assets were also affected by it, including ETH, one of the most famous cryptocurrencies. This paper uses the history data of ETH price from January 2018 to July 2023 and constructs ARIMA model without Federal Reserve increasing the interest rate to compare with the reality in order to comprehend how the increasing interest rate affected the price of ETH, and use the model to predict the trend of Ethereum’s price. With the influence of increasing interest rate, the price of Ethereum should decrease. However, after the U.S. Federal Reserve increased interest rate, the price of Ethereum went up for a while then dropped dramatically. And the reasons why this delay appears are the delay of policy and the first increment of interest rate is not attractive enough for investors to change their strategies. That can bring some inspirations to policymakers. They should acknowledge that there will be a delay in the market after the policy is released and they could give some potential signs or preferences on the new policy to reduce the shock to market. For investors, they could pay more attention on relevant policy and make use of the delay to make more money.
Keywords
U.S. federal reserve, interest rate, Ethereum
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Cite this article
Cheng,H. (2023). The Impact of Federal Reserve Increasing Interest Rate on ETH Market. Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences,58,36-43.
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