Predicting the stock opening price of Apple company
- 1 University College London
* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
As the stock market plays a crucial role in the world economy, researchers have used multiple mathematical and statistical models such as Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks model to forecast the fluctuation in stock price despite their unpredictability as the stock market, being a stochastic process, would be easily affected by an abundance of factors such as governmental policies, industrial news, and natural calamities. Therefore, based on the previous studies, this paper attempts to forecast the stock opening price of Apple Inc., one of the world-leading companies in the technology industry, utilizing the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. In order to minimize the impact on the stock market brought by the COVID-19 pandemic, this paper will analyze separately the opening price of Apple stock before and after the epidemic outbreak and will compare the difference the pandemic made in the stock market, as well as the forecasting models.
Keywords
Apple, ARIMA, Stock Price, Forecasting, Time Series
[1]. Surya B G C 2006 Stock Market and Economic Development: A Causality Test. The Journal of Nepalese Business Studies, 3, 1.
[2]. Song D, Chung B A and Kim N 2021 Forecasting Stock Market Indices Using Padding-Based Fourier Transform Denoising and Time Series Deep Learning Models. in IEEE Access, 9, 83786-83796.
[3]. Sun L and Yuan H 2023 Research on the Tencent Company Stock Price Based on ARIMA Model. Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences.
[4]. Ahmar A 2016 Predicting Movement of Stock of Apple Inc Using Sutte Indicator. Proceedings The 3rd AISTSSE Trends in Science and Science Education.
[5]. Tiao G C 2001 Time Series: ARIMA Methods. International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral Sciences. Pergamon, 15704-15709.
[6]. Khan S and Alghulaiakh H 2020 ARIMA Model for Accurate Time Series Stocks Forecasting. International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications, 11.
[7]. Mehar V, et al. 2020 Stock Closing Price Prediction using Machine Learning Techniques. Procedia Computer Science, 167, 599-606.
[8]. Fang Y Q, Lu Z and Ge J W 2022 Joint RMSE loss LSTM CNN model for stock price prediction. Computer Engineering and Applications.
[9]. Zhang R X and Hao Y T 2023 Research on Stock Price Prediction Based on Deep Learning. Computer Knowledge and Technology, 33, 8-10.
[10]. Yang M and Wang J 2023 A spatial-temporal attention based BiLSTM for stock index prediction. Operations Research and Management Science, 32(8), 174-180.
Cite this article
Li,G. (2024).Predicting the stock opening price of Apple company.Theoretical and Natural Science,39,14-22.
Data availability
The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.
Disclaimer/Publisher's Note
The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of EWA Publishing and/or the editor(s). EWA Publishing and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content
About volume
Volume title: Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Mathematical Physics and Computational Simulation
© 2024 by the author(s). Licensee EWA Publishing, Oxford, UK. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and
conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license. Authors who
publish this series agree to the following terms:
1. Authors retain copyright and grant the series right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons
Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this
series.
2. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the series's published
version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial
publication in this series.
3. Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and
during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See
Open access policy for details).