Prediction of the Winning Rate of Athlete Ma Long——Based on Probability Theory

Research Article
Open access

Prediction of the Winning Rate of Athlete Ma Long——Based on Probability Theory

Qilin You 1*
  • 1 School of Shanghai North America International School, Shanghai, China, 201104    
  • *corresponding author youqilin2005@163.com
TNS Vol.5
ISSN (Print): 2753-8826
ISSN (Online): 2753-8818
ISBN (Print): 978-1-915371-53-9
ISBN (Online): 978-1-915371-54-6

Abstract

Today, probability theory is becoming more and more useful in our daily life, and it is used more often in sports, especially in table tennis. As a well-known table tennis player from China, Ma Long is an experienced player in table tennis. The data from this study is mainly from @tingwalker who was famous for statistical table tennis data. This paper uses the probability theory to find the effects of the win rate of Ma Long as well as calculate the actual rate, including the effects we have to consider. It is more accurate than just considering the win rate of each competition or looking at the total winning rate of Ma Long. With the help of probability theory, the paper considers factors that affect Malone's winning rate, such as competition system, different players, independent events, and miss rate. Finally, it can be concluded that Ma Long's winning rate against Zhang Jike is as high as 78%~82%.

Keywords:

Table tennis, probability theory, competition prediction.

You,Q. (2023). Prediction of the Winning Rate of Athlete Ma Long——Based on Probability Theory. Theoretical and Natural Science,5,192-195.
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References

[1]. Yu Yueli, Hu Hui. Application of Calculus Method in Probability Theory Teaching [J]. Science and Education Guide, 2022, No.494(26): 46-48.DOI: 10.16400/j.cnki.kjdk.2022.26.015.

[2]. @tingwalker, 2021, https://www.douban.com/group/topic/247113676/?_i=5759158ikOjU6r

[3]. Wapner Leonard M. Probability: a questionable science of the uncertain[J]. The Mathematical Gazette, 2022, 106(567) : 458-466.

[4]. Brychkov Yu. A. and Savischenko N.V. Some properties of multiple hypergeometric functions and their applications in probability theory [J]. Lobachevskii Journal of Mathematics, 2022, 43 (7): 1813-1831.

[5]. From CCTV.COM. 2016/8/12. 9:20 http://2016.cctv.com/2016/08/12/ARTIuLu4hcHijknXa2vlegHq160812.shtml

[6]. Bougoffa Lazhar and Krasopoulos Panagiotis T.. Integral inequalities in probability theory revisited[J]. The Mathematical Gazette, 2021, 105(563) : 263-270.

Cite this article

You,Q. (2023). Prediction of the Winning Rate of Athlete Ma Long——Based on Probability Theory. Theoretical and Natural Science,5,192-195.

Data availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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About volume

Volume title: Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Computing Innovation and Applied Physics (CONF-CIAP 2023)

ISBN：978-1-915371-53-9(Print) / 978-1-915371-54-6(Online)
Editor：Marwan Omar, Roman Bauer
Conference website: https://www.confciap.org/
Conference date: 25 March 2023
Series: Theoretical and Natural Science
Volume number: Vol.5
ISSN：2753-8818(Print) / 2753-8826(Online)

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References

[1]. Yu Yueli, Hu Hui. Application of Calculus Method in Probability Theory Teaching [J]. Science and Education Guide, 2022, No.494(26): 46-48.DOI: 10.16400/j.cnki.kjdk.2022.26.015.

[2]. @tingwalker, 2021, https://www.douban.com/group/topic/247113676/?_i=5759158ikOjU6r

[3]. Wapner Leonard M. Probability: a questionable science of the uncertain[J]. The Mathematical Gazette, 2022, 106(567) : 458-466.

[4]. Brychkov Yu. A. and Savischenko N.V. Some properties of multiple hypergeometric functions and their applications in probability theory [J]. Lobachevskii Journal of Mathematics, 2022, 43 (7): 1813-1831.

[5]. From CCTV.COM. 2016/8/12. 9:20 http://2016.cctv.com/2016/08/12/ARTIuLu4hcHijknXa2vlegHq160812.shtml

[6]. Bougoffa Lazhar and Krasopoulos Panagiotis T.. Integral inequalities in probability theory revisited[J]. The Mathematical Gazette, 2021, 105(563) : 263-270.

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