1. Introduction
Bayes’ theorem plays a crucial role in modern machine learning, particularly in probabilistic reasoning and classification models. It provides a mathematical framework for updating the probability of a hypothesis based on new evidence. In machine learning, this theorem serves as the foundation for algorithms such as the Naïve Bayes classifier, which is widely used due to its simplicity and efficiency.
Bayes’ theorem is fundamental in many machine learning algorithms, especially in the Naïve Bayes classifier. This classifier is known for its ease of implementation and scalability, despite its assumption of conditional independence between features, which may not always hold true in practice [1]. Even with this limitation, Naïve Bayes often performs surprisingly well across various datasets and domains, making it one of the oldest yet most reliable classifiers in machine learning [2].
Moreover, research has extended Bayes’ theorem into advanced areas such as quantum mechanics and singular learning theory, highlighting its versatility beyond traditional applications. These extensions indicate the broad applicability of Bayes’ theorem in emerging fields like quantum computing and complex data structures [3].
The widespread adoption of Bayes' theorem in machine learning has led to numerous applications across various domains. While its use in classification tasks through the Naïve Bayes algorithm is well-established, the full scope of Bayesian methods in modern machine learning extends far beyond this single application. From Bayesian networks for probabilistic graphical modeling to Bayesian optimization for hyperparameter tuning, the theorem's influence permeates many aspects of the field. This paper mainly analyzes the applications of Bayes’ theorem in machine learning. By exploring this question, this paper can gain a comprehensive understanding of how Bayesian principles are leveraged to enhance learning algorithms, improve decision-making processes, and tackle complex problems in artificial intelligence. This paper discusses the function and operability of Bayes' theorem in machine learning by literature review, and shows the potential of Bayes' theorem in this field.
2. Background
2.1. Bayes’ theorem
Bayes’ theorem was first introduced by British mathematician and minister Thomas Bayes, and it was posthumously published by his friend Richard Price in 1763. The original motivation behind the theorem was to solve an inverse probability problem—determining the likelihood of a cause given that an event has occurred. Bayes5 essay, titled “An Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances”, laid the foundation for using new evidence to update the probability of an event.
The initial expansion of Bayes' theorem came through the work of French mathematician Pierre-Simon Laplace, who further developed the concept and applied it widely in fields such as astronomy and statistics. Laplace's efforts helped cement Bayes' theorem as a cornerstone of probabilistic inference. However, during the early 20th century, the use of Bayesian inference faced considerable criticism from traditional statisticians, such as Ronald Fisher, and fell out of favor for a period [4].
Despite these setbacks, Bayes' theorem experienced a resurgence in the latter half of the 20th century, largely driven by advances in computing technology. These innovations enabled the application of Bayesian methods in large-scale data analysis and complex models, restoring its prominence in the fields of statistics, machine learning, and beyond. Today, Bayes' theorem is an essential tool in modern statistical theory, used in diverse fields ranging from medical diagnostics to artificial intelligence [5].
2.2. Machine learning
The development of machine learning has deep roots in both statistics and mathematics, which have significantly shaped its evolution. Early machine learning emerged as an interdisciplinary field drawing from mathematical principles, particularly in the areas of linear algebra, probability, and statistics [6].
Statistics played a crucial role in establishing the core concepts of machine learning by focusing on data collection, analysis, and the interpretation of patterns within datasets. In fact, many machine learning algorithms, such as regression models, were directly derived from statistical methods, allowing computers to predict and classify data based on mathematical patterns. Over time, the integration of probability theory helped refine models by addressing uncertainty and improving predictions [7].
Mathematical tools like linear algebra have also been essential, enabling operations like matrix manipulation, which are fundamental to the processing of large datasets and the design of algorithms. This mathematical underpinning provided the foundation for the development of techniques such as support vector machines and neural networks [8].
3. Methodology
In this study, a literature review method was employed to analyze the current state of knowledge on Bayes’ theorem in machine learning. The literature review allows for the synthesis and evaluation of previous research to identify trends, gaps, and common findings in the field [9]. Below are the steps followed in conducting the literature review:
Define the Research Scope: The first step involved identifying the key themes and areas to focus on, such as the application of Bayes’ theorem in machine learning, its historical development, and its mathematical foundations. The focus was on studies that highlight both theoretical and practical aspects of Bayesian methods in machine learning.
Literature Search: The next step involved gathering relevant academic papers, books, and articles from reputable databases. Specific keywords such as Bayes’ theorem in machine learning,” ”Bayesian statistics,” and ”machine learning algorithms” were used to identify relevant sources. Various databases like Google Scholar and Consensus were used to ensure a comprehensive collection of literature.
Screening and Selection: Once the papers were collected, they were screened for relevance based on titles, abstracts, and keywords. Studies that directly addressed the research question or provided critical insights into the use of Bayes’ theorem in machine learning were included, while irrelevant papers were excluded.
Data Extraction and Organization: Key findings from the selected studies were extracted and organized thematically. This included identifying the role of Bayes’ theorem in various machine learning models, how it is applied in different contexts, and the statistical and mathematical tools used in Bayesian methods.
Synthesis and Analysis: In the final step, the extracted information was synthesized to draw conclusions about the current state of research, highlighting areas of agreement, contention, and gaps in knowledge. This analysis provided a comprehensive understanding of how Bayes’ theorem has evolved and is applied in modern machine learning.
4. Results
Bayes’ theorem is a fundamental concept in machine learning, classification algorithms, and Natural Language Processing (NLP), with wide-ranging applications across various domains. The theorem has been extensively utilized in diverse fields, from disease pre-diction to indoor localization, educational applications, and sentiment analysis.
In the realm of classification, several studies have demonstrated the effectiveness of Bayes' theorem-based techniques. Hameg et al. applied a naive Bayes classifier to classify convective rainfall intensities using spectral characteristics from SEVIRI. Zia et al. conducted a comparative study of classification techniques for indoor localization of mobile devices, including various Naive Bayes theorem-based approaches [10-11]. Similarly, Abbas & Ghafoor employed machine learning algorithms for accurate indoor localization, showcasing the practical implications of Bayes’ theorem in real-world scenarios [12].
Researchers have also focused on improving the performance of Naive Bayes classifiers Rizki et al. implemented the Laplacian Correction technique to enhance the Naive Bayes classifier’s performance [13]. Dikananda et al. explored genre classification in e-sport gaming tournaments using machine learning techniques, including Naive Bayes [14]. The comparison of Naive Bayes classifiers with other machine learning algorithms has been a topic of interest, with studies evaluating classification accuracy based on training data sets and n-grams.
In the medical field, Bayes’ theorem has shown promise in disease prediction models. R et al. emphasized the importance of machine learning techniques in developing predictive models for disease prediction [15]. Yousef & Batiha proposed a heart disease prediction model that combines the Naive Bayes algorithm with machine learning classifiers to address the dimensionality problem and enhance prediction performance [16].
In the field of computer vision, Shtino & Muc¸a conducted a comparative study of K-NN, Naive Bayes, and SVM for face expression classification techniques to evaluate their performance in accurately classifying facial expressions [17].
The application of Bayes’ theorem extends to text classification and NLP tasks. Herlambang & Wijoyo utilized the Naive Bayes algorithm for classifying text-based learning resources in Vocational High Schools [18]. Berrar discussed the application of Bayes’ theorem in the Naive Bayes Classifier, highlighting its significance in classification tasks [2]. In the NLP domain, Pattern for Python is a package that includes functionality for tasks such as sentiment analysis, tagger/chunker, and Naive Bayes classifiers [19].
Naïve Bayes classifiers have been explored in various contexts within NLP, including sentiment analysis at the sentence level, text reviews classification, and prediction of POS tagging for unknown words in specific languages [19]. Machine learning classifiers, including Naïve Bayes, have been leveraged to optimize sentiment analysis in response to increasing demand from business organizations and governments [20]. Additionally, Naïve Bayes models have been employed in sentiment analysis towards COVID-19 vaccines in the Philippines using Twitter data [21].
The integration of Bayes’ theorem in NLP tasks has proven valuable in various research areas, including literary analysis. Researchers have applied sentiment analysis and polarity lexicons to understand how the dystopian atmosphere of literary works, such as George Orwell’s 1984, is created through language and concepts [22].
The application of Bayes’ theorem in machine learning has led to innovative approaches. Lu introduced a new method to convert Shannon’s channel into an optimized semantic channel using the third kind of Bayes’ theorem, leading to the development of the Channels’ Matching algorithm for machine learning [23]. Salas-rueda & Salas-rueda implemented a Web Application on Bayes’ Theorem (WABT) using machine learning and data science to analyze its impact on the educational process [24].
In the realm of neuroscience and uncertainty quantification, G et al. provided insights into the foundations of Bayesian learning in clinical neuroscience, emphasizing the importance of Bayes’ theorem in machine learning methodology [25]. Swaminathan et al. further explored Bayesian learning for uncertainty quantification, optimization, and inverse design, highlighting its versatile applications in various domains [26].
5. Conclusion
This literature review has explored the main applications of Bayes’ theorem in machine learning, focusing on its role in classification algorithms, Natural Language Processing (NLP), and other emerging fields. The analysis reveals that Bayes’ theorem is a versatile and powerful tool in machine learning, with significant applications in diverse areas such as disease prediction, sentiment analysis, and computer vision. Its effectiveness is particularly notable in classification tasks and NLP, where Naive Bayes classifiers have shown robust performance despite their simplicity.
However, this review has limitations in its scope. It does not delve deeply into the mathematical foundations of Bayesian methods or provide a comprehensive comparison with non-Bayesian approaches. Additionally, the review could benefit from a more detailed examination of Bayesian methods in emerging fields such as quantum computing and neuromorphic hardware.
Future research in this area could focus on several promising directions. The integration of Bayesian methods with advanced technologies like quantum computing and neuromorphic hardware could lead to more efficient and powerful probabilistic models. Exploring Bayesian approaches for ethical AI decision-making and interpretable machine learning models could contribute to more transparent and trustworthy AI systems. Furthermore, investigating Bayesian techniques for federated learning and differential privacy could address growing concerns about data security and privacy in machine learning applications. These areas of study hold significant potential for expanding the capabilities of Bayes’ theorem in addressing complex real-world challenges across various domains.
References
[1]. Cichosz P. Data mining algorithms: explained using R [M]. John Wiley & Sons, 2014.
[2]. Berrar D. Bayes' theorem and naive Bayes classifier [J]. 2019.
[3]. Nieto-Chaupis H. Quantum Mechanics of Theorem of Bayes Modeled by Machine Learning Principles[C]//2022 IEEE/ACIS 23rd International Conference on Software Engineering, Artificial Intelligence, Networking and Parallel/Distributed Computing (SNPD). IEEE, 2022: 45-49.
[4]. Efron B. Bayes' theorem in the 21st century [J]. Science, 2013, 340(6137): 1177-1178.
[5]. Fienberg S E. When did Bayesian inference become" Bayesian"? [J]. 2006.
[6]. Cucker F, Smale S. On the mathematical foundations of learning [J]. Bulletin of the American mathematical society, 2002, 39(1): 1-49.
[7]. Lamba S, Saini P, Kukreja V, et al. Role of mathematics in machine learning[C]//Proceedings of the International Conference on Innovative Computing & Communication (ICICC). 2021.
[8]. Kumar G, Banerjee R, Kr Singh D, et al. Mathematics for machine learning[J]. Journal of Mathematical Sciences & Computational Mathematics, 2020, 1(2): 229-238.
[9]. Cheng W. Location Privacy Preservation Mechanisms: A Systematic Literature Review[J]. 2024.
[10]. Hameg S, Lazri M, Ameur S. Using naive Bayes classifier for classification of convective rainfall intensities based on spectral characteristics retrieved from SEVIRI[J]. Journal of Earth System Science, 2016, 125: 945-955.
[11]. Zia K, Iram H, Aziz-ul-Haq M, et al. Comparative study of classification techniques for indoor localization of mobile devices[C]//2018 28th International Telecommunication Networks and Applications Conference (ITNAC). IEEE, 2018: 1-5.
[12]. Abbas H A, Ghafoor K Z. Enabling accurate indoor localization using a machine learning algorithm[J]. UHD Journal of Science and Technology, 2020, 4(1): 96-102.
[13]. Rizki M, Arhami M, Huzeni H. Perbaikan algoritma naive bayes classifier menggunakan teknik Laplacian Correction[J]. Jurnal Teknologi, 2021, 21(1): 39-45.
[14]. Dikananda A R, Ali I, Rinaldi R A. Genre e-sport gaming tournament classification using machine learning technique based on decision tree, Naïve Bayes, and random forest algorithm[C]//IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering. IOP Publishing, 2021, 1088(1): 012037.
[15]. Venkatesh R, Balasubramanian C, Kaliappan M. Development of big data predictive analytics model for disease prediction using machine learning technique[J]. Journal of medical systems, 2019, 43(8): 272.
[16]. Yousef, M. & Batiha, P. K., Heart Disease Prediction Model Using NaÃ-ve Bayes Algorithm and Machine Learning Techniques', International Journal of Enginecring & Technology 2020, 10(1), 46-56. Number: 1.
[17]. Shtino V B, Muça M. Comparative Study of K-NN, Naive Bayes and SVM for Face Expression Classification Techniques[J]. Balkan Journal of Interdisciplinary Research, 2023, 9(3): 23-32.
[18]. Herlambang A D, Wijoyo S H. Algoritma Naive Bayes untuk Klasifikasi Sumber Belajar Berbasis Teks pada Mata Pelajaran Produktif di SMK Rumpun Teknologi Informasi dan Komunikasi[J]. Jurnal Teknologi Informasi Dan Ilmu Komputer, 2019, 6(4): 430.
[19]. Chiplunkar K, Kharche M, Chaudhari T, et al. Prediction of pos tagging for unknown words for specific Hindi and Marathi[J]. Intelligent Data Engineering and Analytics: Frontiers in Intelligent Computing: Theory and Applications (FICTA 2020), Volume 2, 2020, 1177: 133.
[20]. Singh J, Singh G, Singh R. Optimization of sentiment analysis using machine learning classifiers[J]. Human-centric Computing and information Sciences, 2017, 7: 1-12.
[21]. Villavicencio C, Macrohon J J, Inbaraj X A, et al. Twitter sentiment analysis towards covid-19 vaccines in the Philippines using naïve bayes[J]. Information, 2021, 12(5): 204.
[22]. Dunđer I, Pavlovski M. Behind the dystopian sentiment: a sentiment analysis of George Orwell’s 1984[C]//2019 42nd International Convention on Information and Communication Technology, Electronics and Microelectronics (MIPRO). IEEE, 2019: 577-582.
[23]. Lu C. From Shannon's Channel to Semantic Channel via New Bayes' Formulas for Machine Learning[J]. arXiv preprint arXiv:1803.08979, 2018.
[24]. Salas-Rueda R A, Salas-Rueda E P. Analysis of the Web Application on Bayes' Theorem Considering Data Science and Technological Acceptance Model[J]. Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education, 2021, 22(3): 55-78.
[25]. Burström G, Edström E, Elmi-Terander A. Foundations of Bayesian learning in clinical neuroscience[C]//Machine Learning in Clinical Neuroscience: Foundations and Applications. Springer International Publishing, 2022: 75-78.
[26]. Swaminathan M, Bhatti O W, Guo Y, et al. Bayesian learning for uncertainty quantification, optimization, and inverse design[J]. IEEE Transactions on Microwave Theory and Techniques, 2022, 70(11): 4620-4634.
Cite this article
Qu,B. (2025). Bayes’ Theorem in Machine Learning: A Literature Review. Theoretical and Natural Science,86,26-31.
Data availability
The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.
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References
[1]. Cichosz P. Data mining algorithms: explained using R [M]. John Wiley & Sons, 2014.
[2]. Berrar D. Bayes' theorem and naive Bayes classifier [J]. 2019.
[3]. Nieto-Chaupis H. Quantum Mechanics of Theorem of Bayes Modeled by Machine Learning Principles[C]//2022 IEEE/ACIS 23rd International Conference on Software Engineering, Artificial Intelligence, Networking and Parallel/Distributed Computing (SNPD). IEEE, 2022: 45-49.
[4]. Efron B. Bayes' theorem in the 21st century [J]. Science, 2013, 340(6137): 1177-1178.
[5]. Fienberg S E. When did Bayesian inference become" Bayesian"? [J]. 2006.
[6]. Cucker F, Smale S. On the mathematical foundations of learning [J]. Bulletin of the American mathematical society, 2002, 39(1): 1-49.
[7]. Lamba S, Saini P, Kukreja V, et al. Role of mathematics in machine learning[C]//Proceedings of the International Conference on Innovative Computing & Communication (ICICC). 2021.
[8]. Kumar G, Banerjee R, Kr Singh D, et al. Mathematics for machine learning[J]. Journal of Mathematical Sciences & Computational Mathematics, 2020, 1(2): 229-238.
[9]. Cheng W. Location Privacy Preservation Mechanisms: A Systematic Literature Review[J]. 2024.
[10]. Hameg S, Lazri M, Ameur S. Using naive Bayes classifier for classification of convective rainfall intensities based on spectral characteristics retrieved from SEVIRI[J]. Journal of Earth System Science, 2016, 125: 945-955.
[11]. Zia K, Iram H, Aziz-ul-Haq M, et al. Comparative study of classification techniques for indoor localization of mobile devices[C]//2018 28th International Telecommunication Networks and Applications Conference (ITNAC). IEEE, 2018: 1-5.
[12]. Abbas H A, Ghafoor K Z. Enabling accurate indoor localization using a machine learning algorithm[J]. UHD Journal of Science and Technology, 2020, 4(1): 96-102.
[13]. Rizki M, Arhami M, Huzeni H. Perbaikan algoritma naive bayes classifier menggunakan teknik Laplacian Correction[J]. Jurnal Teknologi, 2021, 21(1): 39-45.
[14]. Dikananda A R, Ali I, Rinaldi R A. Genre e-sport gaming tournament classification using machine learning technique based on decision tree, Naïve Bayes, and random forest algorithm[C]//IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering. IOP Publishing, 2021, 1088(1): 012037.
[15]. Venkatesh R, Balasubramanian C, Kaliappan M. Development of big data predictive analytics model for disease prediction using machine learning technique[J]. Journal of medical systems, 2019, 43(8): 272.
[16]. Yousef, M. & Batiha, P. K., Heart Disease Prediction Model Using NaÃ-ve Bayes Algorithm and Machine Learning Techniques', International Journal of Enginecring & Technology 2020, 10(1), 46-56. Number: 1.
[17]. Shtino V B, Muça M. Comparative Study of K-NN, Naive Bayes and SVM for Face Expression Classification Techniques[J]. Balkan Journal of Interdisciplinary Research, 2023, 9(3): 23-32.
[18]. Herlambang A D, Wijoyo S H. Algoritma Naive Bayes untuk Klasifikasi Sumber Belajar Berbasis Teks pada Mata Pelajaran Produktif di SMK Rumpun Teknologi Informasi dan Komunikasi[J]. Jurnal Teknologi Informasi Dan Ilmu Komputer, 2019, 6(4): 430.
[19]. Chiplunkar K, Kharche M, Chaudhari T, et al. Prediction of pos tagging for unknown words for specific Hindi and Marathi[J]. Intelligent Data Engineering and Analytics: Frontiers in Intelligent Computing: Theory and Applications (FICTA 2020), Volume 2, 2020, 1177: 133.
[20]. Singh J, Singh G, Singh R. Optimization of sentiment analysis using machine learning classifiers[J]. Human-centric Computing and information Sciences, 2017, 7: 1-12.
[21]. Villavicencio C, Macrohon J J, Inbaraj X A, et al. Twitter sentiment analysis towards covid-19 vaccines in the Philippines using naïve bayes[J]. Information, 2021, 12(5): 204.
[22]. Dunđer I, Pavlovski M. Behind the dystopian sentiment: a sentiment analysis of George Orwell’s 1984[C]//2019 42nd International Convention on Information and Communication Technology, Electronics and Microelectronics (MIPRO). IEEE, 2019: 577-582.
[23]. Lu C. From Shannon's Channel to Semantic Channel via New Bayes' Formulas for Machine Learning[J]. arXiv preprint arXiv:1803.08979, 2018.
[24]. Salas-Rueda R A, Salas-Rueda E P. Analysis of the Web Application on Bayes' Theorem Considering Data Science and Technological Acceptance Model[J]. Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education, 2021, 22(3): 55-78.
[25]. Burström G, Edström E, Elmi-Terander A. Foundations of Bayesian learning in clinical neuroscience[C]//Machine Learning in Clinical Neuroscience: Foundations and Applications. Springer International Publishing, 2022: 75-78.
[26]. Swaminathan M, Bhatti O W, Guo Y, et al. Bayesian learning for uncertainty quantification, optimization, and inverse design[J]. IEEE Transactions on Microwave Theory and Techniques, 2022, 70(11): 4620-4634.