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Qiu,H. (2024). Investment Portfolio with Convex Optimization and Risk Adjustment Using Multi-Factor Model and Multi-Armed Bandit Algorithm. Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences,104,55-68.
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Investment Portfolio with Convex Optimization and Risk Adjustment Using Multi-Factor Model and Multi-Armed Bandit Algorithm

Haiyang Qiu *,1,
  • 1 Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai, China

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

https://doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/104/2024ED0075

Abstract

This paper examines the creation of investment portfolios through convex optimization, multifactor models, and the multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms, focusing on the KL-UCB strategy to optimize decisions in uncertain settings. It explores the impact of systematic risk factors using the Fama-French three-factor model, estimating the influence of market, size, and value premiums via linear regression. The use of Monte Carlo simulation is detailed for generating potential asset allocations and calculating their expected returns, volatility, and Sharpe ratios. The optimize minimize function from the SciPy library is employed to construct an efficient frontier and determine optimal asset allocation, aiming to maximize returns or minimize volatility across various risk levels. The findings suggest that the strategy of dynamic weight adjustments combined with the KL-UCB algorithm enhances portfolio returns, particularly during market volatility. The research also reveals a portfolio inclination towards large-cap growth stocks due to the negative impacts of size and value premiums. It concludes that dynamic weight adjustment strategies offer significant potential in optimizing portfolio performance in complex market conditions, though leveraging increases risk and should be carefully managed according to investor risk tolerance.

Keywords

MBA, Investment Portfolio Management, Multi-Factor Model, CVXPY, Monte Carlo

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Cite this article

Qiu,H. (2024). Investment Portfolio with Convex Optimization and Risk Adjustment Using Multi-Factor Model and Multi-Armed Bandit Algorithm. Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences,104,55-68.

Data availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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About volume

Volume title: Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development

Conference website: https://2024.icemgd.org/
ISBN:978-1-83558-533-7(Print) / 978-1-83558-534-4(Online)
Conference date: 26 September 2024
Editor:Lukáš Vartiak, Gbenga Adamolekun
Series: Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
Volume number: Vol.104
ISSN:2754-1169(Print) / 2754-1177(Online)

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